![]() ![]() So then fading the public must be a good soccer betting strategy? Well, it can be, but not always. Therefore, logic would say it’s a smart strategy to bet the opposite of what the public is betting. It’s why Las Vegas can afford all those fancy hotels on the strip. Over the long term, most public bettors usually lose. Public bettors often bet on favorites and usually make smaller wager amounts. Oftentimes, sharp bettors make wagers that align with what the sportsbooks need for a given match. They are not swayed by betting with their hearts or on their favorite teams. These bettors are usually making larger wagers and bet on sports for a living. Generally speaking, it’s often a better strategy to be on the side of the sharps. Is Fading the Public a Good Soccer Betting Strategy?Īs is the case when betting on every sport, there are public or “square” bettors in soccer as well as professional or “sharp” bettors too. But, as mentioned above, just because a team is getting lots of bets (or tickets) wagered on them, doesn’t necessarily mean that the actual amount of money bet (money percentage) is also on that same team. You could also look at this figure as the ticket percentage for that team. So if 100 moneyline bets are made between Team A versus Team B, and 70 of those bets (of varying amounts of money) are placed on Team A, then Team A has received 70 percent of the bet percentage to win for that match. Whether the wager is $1, $50, $100 or $10,000, if a bet is made on a match, it will count the same towards the bet percentage of all the bets made overall. When you’re analyzing bet percentages you’re looking at the actual number of bets made on a team or outcome in a soccer match. Soccer bet percentages are different from money percentages. Because if large amounts of money are bet on a team or outcome, despite the bet percentages (explained below) being higher on the other side, you can tell that the bigger money bets, often from professionals, are coming in on that side. This typically is a better way to determine where the sharper bets are going on World Cup matches and futures markets. ![]() For soccer, there is a third option, the draw, in the moneyline or “ three-way moneyline” markets.Īnother way to refer to this is the “handle percentage” that is being bet on a team or an outcome.īy analyzing this data, you can see how much percentage of the actual money is coming in for a specific event or team in a match. Usually, this will be separated by moneyline, spread and totals wagers. Soccer money percentages are calculated by combining all of the money that has been wagered on a match. After counting up all of the soccer bets on a certain match they can provide information on the percentages of bets made and money wagered on each World Cup match or event. From there, they can break down who is betting on what team and match. Online sportsbooks keep detailed records of where every bet is coming from for every season, month, week, and match. Read More World Cup Public Betting Trends ![]()
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